

Informativeness of the federal reserve chair communication’s sentiment on the monetary policy uncertainty
Annals of Operations Research, 2024 ( https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06414-6 ) Abstract Can a single personal communication have a...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
Jul 251 min read
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Equity Risk Premium Predictability from Cross-Sectoral Downturns
(Accepted for publication in "Review of Asset Pricing Studies") Abstract We illustrate the role of left tail dependence variables – left...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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The Implications of Dependence, Tail Dependence, and Bounds’ Measures for Counterparty Credit Risk
(Accepted for publication in "Journal of Financial Stability") Abstract This paper investigates the counterparty credit risk of interest...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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On quadratic forms in multivariate generalized hyperbolic random vectors (Biometrika - Accepted)
Abstract Exact and approximate expressions for tail probabilities and partial moments of quadratic forms in multivariate generalized...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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Tail systemic risk and contagion: Evidence from the Brazilian and Latin America banking network
Abstract In this study the tail systemic risk of the Brazilian banking system is examined, using the conditional quantile as the risk...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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Multivariate Elliptical Truncated Moments (Journal of Multivariate Analysis - Vol 157, pp.29-44)
Abstract In this study, we derive analytic expressions for the elliptical truncated moment generating function (MGF), the zeroth-,...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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A Moment-based Analytic Approximation of the Risk-Neutral Density of American Options (AMF - Vol 23)
Abstract The price of a European option can be computed as the expected value of the payoff function under the risk-neutral measure. For ...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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The profitability of moving average trading rules in BRICS and emerging stock markets
Abstract Technical analysis and trading systems have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets. Since some academic studies...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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Validation of default probability models: A stress testing approach (Int. Rev. Fin. Ana. - Vol 47)
Abstract This study aims to evaluate the techniques used for the validation of default probability (DP) models. By generating simulated...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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Monte Carlo Approximate Tensor Moment Simulations (Numerical Linear Algebra with Applications - Vol
Abstract An algorithm to generate samples with approximate first-order, second-order, third-order, and fourth-ordermoments is presented...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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A Monte Carlo Multi-Asset Option Approximation for General Stochastic Processes
Abstract We derived a model-free analytical approximation of the price of a multi-asset option defined over an arbitrary multivariate...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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Seasonal Stochastic Volatility: Implications for the Pricing of Commodity Options (JBF - Vol 66)
Abstract Many commodity markets contain a strong seasonal component not only at the price level, but also in volatility. In this paper,...
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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Multivariate Truncated Moments (Journal of Multivariate Analysis - Vol 117, p.41-75)
Abstract
We derive formulae for the higher order tail moments of the lower truncated multivariate standard normal (MVSN), Student’s t, logno
Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano
May 17, 20221 min read
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